It’s been dismissed as a freak show, but the credibility of both Floyd Mayweather jnr and Conor McGregor are on the line when they meet in the boxing ring on Sunday. There are plenty of potential outcomes, but some are more likely than others. Most likely: Mayweather wins via stoppage
The equation is fairly simple – Mayweather is one of the best boxers who ever lived, and this is a boxing match. That might sound patronising, but it’s the sad reality. A huge number of bets have poured in on McGregor, but these are almost all born out of a fandom cultivated by the Irishman in the UFC, and not sincere belief that he can win.
As of writing, McGregor is shorter odds than the then-undefeated professional boxer Ricky Hatton, was against Mayweather in 2007 – that is, in a word, insane.
The most likely outcome to this fight is the vastly inexperienced underdog gets aggressive early, and it won’t take long for one of the best counter-punchers in boxing history to take advantage of that. In all likelihood, Mayweather wins in the first few rounds and both men go home sharing more money than the GDP of a small nation. Possible: Mayweather wins via decision
While a stoppage is likely, the Mayweather of the past decade isn’t exactly known for vicious knockouts. Nine of his past 10 fights have gone the distance, and if he simply tries to repel McGregor much like you or I would repel a fly on a hot summer’s day, he could very well still win easily.
Whether McGregor could go a full 36 minutes is another question altogether. But it wouldn’t be outrageous if we saw yet another Mayweather clinic with the American winning via decision, in an outcome which sees nobody who parted with their hard-earned cash go home happy. Unlikely: McGregor wins via stoppage
If McGregor is to have any shot, he will probably have to knock Mayweather out – which is like saying that for Gibraltar to win the FIFA World Cup, they’ll probably have to beat Germany. It might be technically correct, but it’s a very remote possibility.
You can count on one hand the number of times Mayweather has been knocked down, let alone knocked out. Better boxers than McGregor have tried, and all have failed. Still, he COULD land one of his trademark lefts if Mayweather slips, forgets where he is, or temporarily starts day dreaming – and the agreed upon eight ounce gloves instead of the usual 10 ounce will give that one punch a bit more pop. Never say never. Very unlikely: A DQ or a draw
It’s apparently written into the contract that McGregor would face financial penalties if he uses any of his considerable non-boxing repertoire in this fight. Still, who among us would not laugh like a madman if the UFC star gets frustrated late in the fight and throws a kick, or tries to lock in a rear-naked choke? Don’t rule it out. The “Money” Belt!The winner of #MayweatherMcGregor will receive this belt on Saturday! pic.twitter苏州美甲学校/NU9bPD5oVP??? UFC (@ufc) August 23, 2017